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What are we going to do about the COVID-2X and COVID-3X World wide Pandemics?

The big question is how society is going to change as multiple waves of COVID-19 and new viruses appear over the next 20 years.


Business models supporting sharing of physical objects appear to be in jeopardy (example "ride sharing" transportation). 


Peter Brooks MIET

Palm Bay Florida USA
  • The estimated USA e-scooter injury data makes interesting reading Peter rising exponentially from 1.53 injuries per 100,000 in 2014 to 9.22 per 100,000 of the population in 2019. It clearly calls for the wearing of helmets to be made compulsory (if only for personal insurance purposes) to reduce the number of head injuries. It has been compulsory for all motor cyclists to wear an approved helmet in the UK for many years. My own Father was hospitalised and in a coma for over 7 days after having an accident on his 98 cc James Motorcycle back in the late 1930's - he was only wearing a leather style of helmet, nothing like the later patented 'Everoak' cork lined hemispherical 'skid lids' that were common in the 50's and 60's.


    When I was a child/teenager, he owned a second hand, light green/cream NSU Prima Scooter (based on the Italian Lambretta design - as you observe) for a while after running a series of Norton motorcycle and sidecar outfits for commuting to work and for family outings. He said he was lucky to survive this - his one and only serious motorcycle accident. His final motorcycle was a BSA Shooting Star - a powerful 500 cc twin which he could barely kick start, despite weighing nearly 15 stones, even standing on the kick starter, as it had a high compression engine with no 'decompression' valve. I remember standing up on the pillion footrests on one occasion, just to see how fast we were going and I received a severe scolding from his as we were doing 85 mph.


    I share your concern about ensuring adequate 'crash safety' for all possible 'alternative' replacements for the current ‘heavy’ motor car and it is heartening to see that the wearing of safety helmets by those riding 'push bikes' and e-bikes is becoming common now in the UK. It is also encouraging to see that companies developing lightweight alternatives, such as the Canyon, assisted pedal car you highlighted, are giving careful consideration to making them as safe as possible for use on our roads. This evening, the BBC featured an IRIS electrically assisted tricycle pedal car, with its body made from a modern, light but strong 'plastic foam' material and it featured a top speed of 30 mph and a fully streamlined clear plastic canopy. Here is a link to a preview of Grant Sinclair’s website:



     



    https://www.grantsinclair.com/en/



     



    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJeXZD7MCCY



     



    I think you will agree that the IRIS Trike certainly looks like a worthy replacement for the original Sinclair C5, designed by his Uncle, Sir Clive Sinclair !



     



     


  • Hello Malcolm:


    Among the many organizations that I receive "push" e-mails from, is the US Federal agency responsible for safety recalls on commercial products.


    Over the years there have been a large number of recalls on cracking of Bicycle Forks (usually from Taiwan) and Helmets (usually from China).


    The Sinclair IRIS tricycle pedal car looks pretty good however I wonder if the inside of the transparent cover mists up due to heavy breathing by the occupant.


    The other day I did see a "home" conversion of a electric tricycle with a top roof covered with solar cells for charging the battery.


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA
  • Good morning:

    I would like to ask a question which indirectly deals with the current COVID-19 pandemic.


    I have just finished a COVID-19 Guardian podcast which discussed the need for getting a Flu shot in the UK.

    .

    Here in the US only about 40 % of the total population get the annual flu shot. The percentage is higher for people over 65 years. 

    There are two versions of the  flu vaccine- a "basic" version and a "high dose" version specifically for people over 65. 

    Yesterday I got my high dose version made by Sanofi-Pasteur called Fluzone Quad. 


    What is the situation in the UK?


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA  




  • Peter Brooks:

    Good morning:

    I would like to ask a question which indirectly deals with the current COVID-19 pandemic.


    I have just finished a COVID-19 Guardian podcast which discussed the need for getting a Flu shot in the UK.

    .

    Here in the US only about 40 % of the total population get the annual flu shot. The percentage is higher for people over 65 years. 

    There are two versions of the  flu vaccine- a "basic" version and a "high dose" version specifically for people over 65. 

    Yesterday I got my high dose version made by Sanofi-Pasteur called Fluzone Quad. 


    What is the situation in the UK?


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA  




     


    A bit shambolic, as usual.  People are still avoiding going to see their doctors.  I only discovered that my GP is already making appointments for flu jabs when I looked on their Facebook page.  No doubt, they will still be pushing people to get their vaccinations as late as January, as usual.


    In the UK, it's usually only the elderly and people with specific medical conditions who are offered the vaccination for free.  But it sounds like they want to catch more people this year


  • Hello Simon:


    If I read you correctly you can only get flu shots at your GP. 


    I get my flu shot at a local drug store (chemist like Boots). Being over 65 I get it for free and also a $5 coupon to purchase anything in the store.


    How are they going to give the COVID-19 vaccine to the UK population without having additional outlets?


    I hear that some of the vaccines in development require storage at -80 C. Does you GP have a storage freezer that goes down that low?


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA
  • No solutions here but a few basic obsevations

    Lets make sure we have a vaccine that works on the vulnerable before we consider storage and dispensing. Then, of course, there needs to be an effective and immediate method of testing and response.!

    IMO, most youngsters, under 25s,  seem to be able to catch it and then continue. Most over 60s appear to have a more difficult time. where some don't survive.
    Then there is the Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic also appear to be more susceptible than northern white caucasian humans,

    This is what I might call a culling disease. - a brave new world.

    Legh

       
  • Hello Legh:


    The vaccine must work and be "safe" for everyone for "all" strains of COVID-19. 

    Some people developing the vaccine have stated that they will not sleep at night until over 3 million people have been successfully vaccinated.


    The latest data for my local Florida county shows that the average age for people getting COVID-19 is 44 years, with the peak age range being 15-24 year old


    The number of women getting the virus is 54% which is greater than their percentage (51%) within the general population.


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA


      

  • Peter Brooks:

    Hello Simon:


    If I read you correctly you can only get flu shots at your GP. 


    I get my flu shot at a local drug store (chemist like Boots). Being over 65 I get it for free and also a $5 coupon to purchase anything in the store.


    How are they going to give the COVID-19 vaccine to the UK population without having additional outlets?


    I hear that some of the vaccines in development require storage at -80 C. Does you GP have a storage freezer that goes down that low?


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA   


    Many (but not all) pharmacies also do flu vaccinations.  I assume they have some way to determine who should get it free on the NHS and who has to pay.


    I can't imagine anybody but specialist laboratories have freezers that go down to -80C.  I don't see how such a vaccine could be practical.


  • Hello Simon:


    I was reading another vaccine article today and the AstraZeneca/Oxford version is apparently has a "two dose" requirement, which could complicate efforts to immunize billions of people. If it is like the latest shingles vaccine the second shot is about 2 months after the first.


    However the same article goes on to state that the Merck vaccine is supposed to be a one dose version.


    A couple of weeks ago I got the first draft of the US publication concerning who get the production vaccine first. Turns out to be "first responders" (ER hospital staff, police, ambulance drivers, firemen etc).   


    Peter Brooks MIET

    Palm Bay Florida USA
  • You are correct to query the future as Covid 19 could easily mutate and not respond to a Covid 19 vaccine when if ever it becomes available. We cannot panic all the time when a new virus arrives just do our best to contain it sensibly. 

    Testing is all very well but if the testing takes more than an hour even a day then it is not worth doing. A waste of money and resources!   Why, because the person who was tested is still in contact with his/her family bubble who are all wondering around the shops and at work when they may be infectious.  Testing should be scrapped totally unless the results are available within an hour.  At the moment people are seeking a test when they cough or baby has a sniffle. A total waste of time and leading only to misleading results!

    Look at Sweden, they never locked down just advised the population of the necessity to wash hands; mask up and avoid large indoor gatherings.  They had a high level of deaths in first month but now no second spike as herd immunity has been achieved by allowing everyone to mix carefully.  We do not need draconian measures to be foisted on us by vigilantism.